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Why Top Investors Passed on These Startups

Strategy
June 6, 2025
Investors share why they passed on startups—and what happened.
Topics discussed in the episode:
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How can early-stage investors identify potential top franchises in venture?
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How can outdated processes hinder investment opportunities?
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Why is focusing on solving real problems essential for startups?
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How can time be leveraged as an asset in disciplined investing?
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Why is investing in experienced teams doing something new important?
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What lessons can be learned from passing on early-stage startups like Google?
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How to balance systematic investing with flexibility for great opportunities?
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How can sticking to core investment principles prevent missed opportunities?
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Why trusting your intuition is vital in investment decisions?
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How to avoid investing in overhyped startups with unsustainable valuations?

How can early-stage investors identify potential top franchises in venture?

Identifying potential top venture franchises early can significantly impact investment success.

\"There's a venture fund in the market today that is probably a top three, maybe top 5 franchise in venture... back in the mid 90s... we had the opportunity... to invest in their fund one.\"

  • Recognize early potential in emerging funds.
  • Assess track records and experience even in new ventures.
  • Act promptly on high-potential opportunities.

How can outdated processes hinder investment opportunities?

Outdated investment processes can cause firms to miss significant opportunities.

\"Because of the process, and in my view, the old fashioned nature of what even we were doing at that time caused us to turn that down.\"

  • Modernize investment processes to stay competitive.
  • Adapt to new market dynamics and opportunities.
  • Avoid letting rigid processes block promising deals.

Why is focusing on solving real problems essential for startups?

Founders should prioritize solving real problems over riding hype waves.

\"It's a focus on the founders, building for the long haul, solving real problems, and not just riding any hype waves.\"

  • Build sustainable businesses addressing genuine needs.
  • Avoid getting distracted by fleeting trends.
  • Create lasting value through purposeful innovation.

How can time be leveraged as an asset in disciplined investing?

Using time as an asset allows for disciplined investment processes.

\"Time is our biggest asset in terms of being able to stay very disciplined in our process.\"

  • Plan investments over long periods.
  • Develop relationships with managers over years.
  • Use foresight to maintain discipline and flexibility.

Why is investing in experienced teams doing something new important?

Investing in experienced, passionate teams innovating in new areas is key.

\"Experienced, proven folks who are doing something new that they're passionate about is the center of the fairway for the managers in our portfolio.\"

  • Seek teams with a track record and passion.
  • Support innovation led by experienced individuals.
  • Focus on core principles when choosing investments.

What lessons can be learned from passing on early-stage startups like Google?

Learning from past missed investments helps refine future decisions.

\"I did pass on Google... I was young and clueless and I passed because of competition... I should have listened to that intuition.\"

  • Acknowledge and learn from past mistakes.
  • Assess the true potential beyond immediate competition.
  • Trust in the unique value of exceptional products.

How to balance systematic investing with flexibility for great opportunities?

Balancing a systematic approach with flexibility allows seizing great opportunities.

\"We have a very repeatable process, but we're also nimble enough to take advantage of opportunity when we see it.\"

  • Maintain a disciplined investment process.
  • Leave room for unexpected but valuable opportunities.
  • Flexibility enhances a systematic investment strategy.

How can sticking to core investment principles prevent missed opportunities?

Adhering to core investment principles helps avoid regrettable decisions.

\"As a firm, we chose not to do that emerging manager with experienced people... which is a core principle and a core tenet of our strategy.\"

  • Invest in experienced teams doing something new.
  • Remember past mistakes to inform future strategies.
  • Emphasize core principles in investment decisions.

Why trusting your intuition is vital in investment decisions?

Trusting your intuition can lead to better investment decisions.

\"I did pass on Google... intuitively, I did feel immediately that product was much better than anything else, and so I should have listened to that intuition.\"

  • Listen to your instincts when evaluating products.
  • Recognize when a product is superior despite competition.
  • Avoid missed opportunities by trusting your gut feelings.

How to avoid investing in overhyped startups with unsustainable valuations?

Understanding when to pass on startups with inflated valuations is crucial for long-term success.

\"We've passed on quite a few companies... stratospheric valuations... It's really all about optimism more than reality.\"

  • Founders should focus on sustainable growth rather than chasing hype.
  • Investors must adhere to their discipline to avoid risky bets.
  • Avoiding overvalued startups can prevent future losses.